As with our inaugural edition, this Carnival includes both volunteers and draftees from the blogosphere, as well as selected on-topic articles culled from the main stream media:
William L. Watts at Dow Jones "MarketWatch" analyzes the potential impact of a Divided Government mid-term election result on the Investor Class:
Manuel Schiffres at Kiplingers thinks that investors have already priced in a divided government in his article "What Now, Dow?":
Limited room for maneuver on Capitol Hill
"For investors, the return to divided government -- and political gridlock -- could be a mixed blessing. Investor reaction would likely be driven "by perceptions of whether or not congressional action is seen as necessary to help address budget deficits or other emerging economic imbalances, or to keep the country aligned toward free trade and manageable tax and regulatory..."
David Hogberg at The American Spectator indulges in some serious hand-wringing over the prospect of a divided government, in "Little Virtue in Losing", while also arguing against the merits of the Divided Government thesis. But one week later at the American Spectator, Stephen Slivisinski eviscerates Hogberg in his article "Losing to Win":
"One risk we wouldn't worry too much about is the upcoming elections. Investors already know that there's a decent chance that the Democrats will capture at least one house of Congress, and they've continued to bid up share prices. So the risk, if you want to call it that, of supposedly free-spending, tax-raising Democrats taking power is already baked into stock prices. Besides, the GOP would still control the White House, and markets would probably welcome divided government, one that's unlikely to do anything that could harm businesses or the economy."
In an article on the falling fortunes of Senator George Allen's campaign, Steven Thomma of the McClatchy Newspapers report on an interesting poll result in the article "McClatchy-MSNBC poll:George Allen loses lead in VA Senate race":
"The rules of partisanship imply that a Big Government scheme proposed by a Republican president is more likely to be accepted by a Republican Congress than if it were proposed by a Democrat. That's exactly what happened with the Medicare drug benefit... One thing we have seen, however, is that Bush, like all politicians, is a political animal. On domestic policy, he usually cares more about scoring one for his own team than upholding a coherent position on the role of government in a free society. I suspect the president would go hunting for his veto pen more often if he were faced with a Democratic House. And imagine how congressional Republicans would fight the sorts of big government schemes they currently push if those proposals came instead from the mouths of Democratic majority leaders. Divided government isn't a cure-all. But I'm willing to entertain the notion that those who value limited government would be at least no worse off under it than they are now."
On to the blogosphere. Jim Babka at Downsize DC, has been waging a campaign against the serveillance and torture bills, and finds hope that at least one bill will be defeated and our liberties better protected in a divided government:
"Virginians also expressed some desire for dividing government power in Washington between the two parties. The poll found 42 percent of Virginia voters saying they preferred divided government, 36 percent saying they preferred one party to be in charge, and 23 percent not sure."
Looks like a noble endeavor, and Jim is having an impact. You can help him tilt at these windmills by contributing here.
"Things have changed dramatically in the last 24 hours. The spying bill has become something of a hot potato. The House and Senate can't agree on a final version. It's possible no vote will be held before adjournment in either the House OR the Senate. That would exceed our expectations... The post-election landscape will change. We could have divided government. If so, the bill dies. If not, the bill may still die as Republicans prepare for 2008 by distancing themselves from an unpopular President. "
I have posted on the torture bill before. Unquestionably it is a choice between the lesser of two evils. The bill passed by the Senate is bad. The President's original bill was far, far worse. Joe Gandelman weighs in with "Senate Gives Bush His Controversial Terrorist Detainee Bill" at The Moderate Voice.
Dan presents "America Needs Division" at the Blogger News Network:
"Because the Congress is totally under Republican control authentic oversight and advise and consent has been lacking. It's a case more than ever for voters — including traditional conservatives who are descendants of Barry Goldwater — to opt for ending the experiment in total one party rule ... Question: will this turn off independent voters? Will concerned independent voters, traditional conservatives, and moderate to center-left Democrats who don't like being told their party wants to protect people who want to butcher Americans decide no matter what they will cast their votes in this election to ensure there is divided government and authentic advise and consent for the next two years?"
Crusader AXE presents "A Flop? Really? and your first clue was...?" at The Defeatists:
"This November the Democrats need to win at least the House of Representatives so that America can gain what it has desperately lacked since 1994 and that's a divided government. In this bloggers opinion the Democrats have been very disappointing since Bush's approval ratings started to fall. Until this party can get its act together and oust Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi I don't see the Dems making a serious impact in the post-election landscape."
Jay presents "A Dozen Reasons to Vote Democratic": in the Diatribes of Jay. Among his reasons is number 10: "To restore fiscal discipline to Congress, if by no other means than divided government."
"I know that no one expects the Democrats to sweep the Republicans out thanks to gerrymandering districts and the money imbalance. But, you know something? It might happen... Or, they could end up with a divided government and no veto-proof majority; if there is someone with some fire and some credibility in each house to lead, things could get interesting."
JB presents "Throw The Bums Out" at Over A Candle:
If I am not mistaken, this next post is from Mark Parkinson, who changed his party affiliation and is running for Lt. Governor of Kansas as a Democrat (Mark - you might consider putting your name somewhere ... umm ... anywhere on your blog, after all, you are running for political office). Mark posts in his blog Decline and Fall some comments on the virtues of Divided Government in "The Show Must Not Go On", and "The Resurgence of the RINOs".
"I have no particular desire for Democrats to control Congress. What I want is a Congress that is willing to do its job and serve as a check on the Executive Branch. I want a Congress that can actually say “no” to the President. Ever. For me, this has never been about one party or the other. The real question of this election is do we want one person in charge of the whole country? If you answer yes, you should reelect the people who are sitting in Congress today. If you answer no, it’s time for some changes.... I am all for gridlock and divided government."
Stirling Newberry presents "The Star Chamber" at TPM Cafe with a stimulating (but depressing) analysis of the finanical and social consequences of "Forever War":
I have also received submissions for this Carnival that were, at best, marginally on the topic of Divided Government, and have decided to get more militant about maintaining the primacy of the theme. This Carnival is about achieving; maintaining; benefits of; problems with; arguments for and against Divided Government. If you don't even mention divided government in your post, it seriously limits your prospects of being included in this carnival. That said, two submissions of limited applicability:
"It was a nice Republic, pity we could not keep it. Strangely, this may well help the Democratic Party electorally. Having created a war without end mandate, the public may well want a divided government to preside over it, just to make sure that the corruption spatters in all direction... This is not strange - the UK put Conservatives in charge of the Labour Party's social welfare state, Jefferson's party presided over the republic that Hamilton created. Often the party that makes a particular order ends up watching as the other party runs the government."
My Bubble Life presents The Democrats are Self-Destructing . . . Again posted at My Bubble Life, saying, "Why does the Democratic Party continually sabotage their success? With the momentum that they had gained a few months ago dissipating, it appears that they may have energized the President and the Republican candidates." Had to include it, as Bubbles voices the very fear that keeps me awake at night: The Dems will blow it again.
UPDATE: October 3, 2006
Markos Moulitsas (of Daily Kos fame) presents "The Case for the Libertarian Democrat" at CATO Unbound. He posted on this topic once before on his site (which prompted me to join DAILY KOS just so I could add the widely unread 900th and final comment). This essay is deserving of a more detailed response, which I hope to get to in the next week.
But for now, it boils down to this question: Where is "true north" for you politically? Are you a libertarian first and a Democrat or Republican second? Despite the title of his essay, I'd suggest that Kos is a Democratic Libertarian-lite. For Kos, Democrat comes first. For me, freedom is true north, and Democratic or Republican parties are purely a means to an end. Net net - Voting for Democrats in '06 is a practical, tactical voting strategy to slow the advance of the state by eliminating the continuing disaster of single party control of the executive and legislative branches, and imposing the additional check and balance of partisan balance on the levers of power in Washington. I previously outlined this tactical voting strategy in the post: "Hand wringing libertarians."
And finally, Madeleine Begun Kane offers Torture Bill Haiku posted at Mad Kane's Political Madness. Although not On-Topic, she did inspire my inner Haiku, so I offer this Fall Midterm Haiku of my own:
fall color leaves fade into -
fall color leaves fade into -
With that we conclude this edition. Submit your blog article to the next edition of carnival of divided government using our carnival submission form. Past posts and future hosts can be found on our blog carnival index page.
And remember ...
Divided and Balanced.™ Now that is fair.
Just Vote Divided.
Just Vote Divided.